{
  "current_stage": "stage_6",
  "problem_attempt": 1,
  "idea_round": 1,
  "theory_attempt": 1,
  "theory_version": 7,
  "referee_round": 1,
  "pivot_round": 0,
  "fix_empirics_rounds": 0,
  "bib_verify_round": 0,
  "pivot_resolved": null,
  "pivot_history": [],
  "status": "running",
  "seeded": true,
  "scores": {
    "v7": {
      "structured": 61,
      "freeform": 67
    }
  },
  "stage3a_theory_version": 7,
  "stage1_candidates": [
    {
      "round": 1,
      "rank": 1,
      "sketch_name": "reserve-demand-clearing-slr-operational",
      "novelty": "NOVEL",
      "prototype": "TRACTABLE",
      "surprise": "POTENTIALLY_SURPRISING",
      "eliminated": false,
      "winner": true
    }
  ],
  "history": [
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-23T00:00:00Z",
      "event": "pipeline started in seeded mode; user goal: policy-relevant Fed paper for next-day presentation"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-23T00:00:00Z",
      "event": "data inventory complete; FRED+WRDS+public Fed data available; --ext empirical not engaged"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-23T00:00:00Z",
      "event": "seed_triage entered; literature-scout launched in background"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T02:48:23Z",
      "event": "Gates 1b/1c verdicts: NOVEL + TRACTABLE; surprise = opposing directions of clearing vs SLR reform on volatility slope"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T02:48:23Z",
      "event": "broad literature map complete (35 refs); gap-scout running"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T02:53:33Z",
      "event": "gap-scout returned GAP-OPEN; seed_triage complete; transitioning to Stage 2 theory development"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T03:10:25Z",
      "event": "math audit v1 FAIL: 5 load-bearing issues (FOC sign, Lemma 2 structural, Props 2/3/5/Cor1 cascade); launching v2 mutate per seeded-mode override"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T09:18:49Z",
      "event": "math audit v2: 5 -> 1 load-bearing failure (Cor 2 monotonicity); launching v3 mutate"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T10:10:09Z",
      "event": "math audit v3 PASS; freeform audit v3 FAIL with 10 conceptual concerns; launching v4 mutate"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T10:29:51Z",
      "event": "audit v4: structured FAIL on Prop 6, freeform PASS w/ minor; launching v5 mutate"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T10:50:09Z",
      "event": "audit v5: 2 surgical issues (Prop 6 uniqueness, Cor 6 headline); launching v6"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T11:15:28Z",
      "event": "audit v6: 2 surgical (B.10 typo, Prop 6 framing); branch-manager CONTINUE; v7 launched"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T11:43:08Z",
      "event": "Gate 2 PASS (math v7 + freeform v7), Gate 3 PASS (NOVEL); Stage 3a theory-exploration"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T12:12:14Z",
      "event": "Stage 3a HOLDS; advancing to Stage 3 (Implications)"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T14:59:19Z",
      "event": "Stage 3 implications.md written (3 NOVEL, 2 hybrid, 1 illustrative); per-impl gap-scouts hit org budget limit, lit-checks done synthetically"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T15:13:12Z",
      "event": "Gate 4 ADVANCE: structured 61 + freeform 67 (FIELD threshold 65); paper-writer instructed to execute structural reframe per branch-manager v1"
    },
    {
      "timestamp": "2026-04-24T16:09:17Z",
      "event": "Stage 5 paper drafted (25pp); bib-verified (no fabrications); -> Stage 6 referee"
    }
  ]
}