{
  "current_stage": "stage_8",
  "problem_attempt": 1,
  "idea_round": 1,
  "theory_attempt": 1,
  "theory_version": 7,
  "referee_round": 5,
  "pivot_round": 0,
  "fix_empirics_rounds": 1,
  "bib_verify_round": 0,
  "pivot_resolved": false,
  "pivot_history": [],
  "status": "complete",
  "scores": {"v5_structured": 63, "v5_freeform": 52, "v7_structured": 61, "v7_freeform": 64},
  "history": [
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T00:00:00Z", "event": "pipeline launched; theme=asset pricing"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T00:00:01Z", "event": "data inventory complete"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T02:00:00Z", "event": "stage 0 broad lit scan complete (asset pricing)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T02:10:00Z", "event": "stage 0 gap selected: inelastic demand x info aggregation"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T02:30:00Z", "event": "stage 0 gap-scout: NARROW-BUT-OPEN; closest competitor Buss-Sundaresan 2023 RFS"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T02:35:00Z", "event": "Gate 0 PASS (79/100); advance to stage 1"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T02:40:00Z", "event": "stage 1 round 1 sketches: 5 candidates; reviewer ADVANCE on Idea 5 (84/100)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T02:50:00Z", "event": "Gate 1b v1 NOVEL; Gate 1c v1 BLOCKED (Hellwig invariance)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T03:00:00Z", "event": "Gate 1c v1 F1 retry BLOCKED (Isomorphism Lemma); pivot to Idea 2 (Benchmark Gravity)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T03:10:00Z", "event": "Gate 1c v2 TRACTABLE + POTENTIALLY SURPRISING (threshold tau_B*)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T03:20:00Z", "event": "Gate 1b v2 INCREMENTAL (Cong-Huang-Xu 2024); proceed w/ escape instructions"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T03:25:00Z", "event": "stage 1 complete; advance to stage 2"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T03:45:00Z", "event": "theory v1-v2 drafted; math audit v2 PASS; freeform v2 PASS"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T04:00:00Z", "event": "Gate 3 NOVEL; stage 3a HOLDS"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T04:30:00Z", "event": "stage 3 implications: I1 SUPPORTED, I2 NOVEL, I3 SUPPORTED, I4 PUZZLE-CANDIDATE, I5 NOVEL"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T05:15:00Z", "event": "stage 3e empirics: I4 survives falsification; I2 rejected (later un-rejected by audit)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T06:10:00Z", "event": "puzzle-triage p1 RECONCILE: size scope added (theory v3)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T06:30:00Z", "event": "puzzle-triage p2 HONEST-NULL after tight-proxy reject (theory v5)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T07:00:00Z", "event": "Gate 4 v5: 63/52 REVISE; extension v6+v7 (Prop 8 class theorem)"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T07:35:00Z", "event": "Gate 4 v7: 61/64 REVISE; branch-manager ADVANCE per freeform +12"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T07:55:00Z", "event": "stage 5: paper drafted 37pp; referee r1 MAJOR/REJECT"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T08:10:00Z", "event": "empirical revisions: theta_S stock-picker Cor 2 SUPPORTED; IBES calibration p=0.24"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T08:40:00Z", "event": "referee r2-r5 MAJOR REVISION consistent; target RoF/JFQA/MS tier"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T09:35:00Z", "event": "referee r5 stop-condition met; no new issues"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T09:45:00Z", "event": "stage 7 style check: 3 mechanical edits"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T09:50:00Z", "event": "stage 8 bib verify: 23 VERIFIED, 12 RESOLVED, 0 MISS, 0 fabrications"},
    {"timestamp": "2026-04-20T09:52:00Z", "event": "pipeline complete"}
  ]
}